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NOTE:
This article was written more than 11 years ago, yet it couldn't be more
relevant today. In fact, while the article covers such now-familiar (then-obscure)
issues as "hanging chad," it also examines a potentially more important
issue that isn't being discussed during the current electoral confusion:
the possibility that vote-tabulation software could be easily altered and
that, even absent deliberate fraud, the software code itself is such a
mess that chances for error and malfunction are dangerously high.
By Jonathan
Vankin
Reprinted
in abridged form from
"Metro:
Silicon Valley's Weekly Newspaper," Sept. 28, 1989.
The
author makes grateful acknowledgment to Dan Pulcrano.
The next president of the United
States may not be chosen by the voters of the United States. Instead, he
or she may be the choice of whomever controls or manipulates the computer
systems that tally the votes. A single, Berkeley- based firm manufactures
the software used in the machines that compile more than two-thirds of
the nation's electronically-counted votes. Analysts describe the software
as "spaghetti code," tangled strands of instructions indecipherable to
outsiders. The experts say the code could be manipulated without detection.
In fact, that may have happened already.
Vote fraud by computer is an
even greater threat to local elections, the experts fear. With the entire
system shrouded in mystery and absent of assurances that the voting process
is tamper-proof, voters these days have more reason than ever to ask, "Does
my vote count?"
"The whole damn thing is mind-boggling,"
says Ronnie Dugger, a Texas-based writer who investigates computerized
elections. "They could steal the presidency." "Any use of computer technology
is subvertable," Peter Neumann of the Menlo Park research firm SRI confirms.
"The consensus is that elections can be rigged easily locally, but nationally
takes a lot more work." However, Neumann says, the task of fixing a presidential
election is "doable."
Election-rigging is a time-honored
tradition in the US, from the days of New York's Boss Tweed and Tammany
Hall to Chicago's legendary Mayor Richard Daley, who, historians believe,
engineered President Kennedy's narrow margin of victory over Richard Nixon
in the 1960 general election by stealing a key bloc of Illinois votes.
And Lyndon Johnson's 1948 Senate victory, according to a biographer, was
the result of vote-rigging in Southern Texas, where ballots were burned
before a recount could take place.
As recently as 1988, a US Senate
race in Florida, in which Republican Connie Mack defeated incumbent Buddy
MacKay by just 35,000 out of four million votes, stirred deep suspicion
though no fraud was ever proved. The question, however, is whether a well-executed
computer vote fraud ever would yield enough evidence to constitute "proof."
Ballot boxes can be stolen and stuffed,
mechanical lever machines can be tinkered with, paper ballots can be forged.
But computers seem somehow more sinister. Though defended, as one would
expect, by professionals in the field who insist that computers are less
vulnerable to error and tampering than counting paper ballots, the invisibility
of computer functions and the esoteric languages they use make that assurance
difficult to accept.
"Computerized elections could be
made more difficult to defraud than hand-counted elections, but they're
not that way now," says Erik Nilsson, a Portland, Ore., software engineer
who monitors computerized voting for the Palo Alto-based Computer Professionals
for Social Responsibility (CPSR). "If you believe election officials deliberately
defraud elections, if you really believe people are that dishonest, then
we're kind of stuck."
Nilsson echoes many computer professionals
who say that the internal security/measures of most vote-counting systems
make tampering difficult to detect. He is cautious on the subject of widespread
computer tampering. "Our feeling has been that while we know vote fraud
exists, the larger problem is error," he said in an interview.
Other critics go a step further.
"CPSR has been very conservative on this issue," Dugger says. The journalist
is a native of South Texas, where, he says, election-rigging is a matter
of course. "If they're asking me to trust politicians and election officials,"
he quips, "they'll have to ask Someone else."
Even if elections were never corrupted,
the vulnerability of computerized vote-counting could so damage public
confidence as to render elections virtually useless.
"The public's perception of the security
(as well as the accuracy) of the vote tabulation process is as important
as the actual security measures," said a 1988 report by the Pennsylvania
research firm ECRI." And care must be taken to avoid even minor nuisances
that can give the public and political leaders the impression that the
system's integrity is not sound."
Unfortunately, the problem is more
than simply "public perception," more than "minor nuisances." In many important
ways, the system is not sound. "The complex systems that tally 55 percent
of our electorate are badly designed, hard to monitor and subject to a
host of technological threats," Nilsson wrote in a CPSR "Election Watch"
report. "Worse yet, detection of error or sabotage is more difficult than
in traditional elections." In the report, Nilsson and a co-author listed
ways in which vote-counting software can be "secretly changed." The possibilities
include adding extra ballots,' discarding some ballots, misreading ballots,
turning off the computer's internal record-keeping system or simply changing
the results.
"Any of these threats can be accomplished
by a single computer expert or, in many instances, by a non-professional,"
Nilsson's report states.
So far, there have been no legally
established cases of computerized vote fraud, or at least of fraudulent
software tampering. "There's probably been some we don't know about," claims
one computer company executive. If a computerized vote fraud were successful,
would the public ever know? A Los Angeles Times article earlier this
year raised that very point, quoting former California state prosecutor
Steve White, who pointed out that "if you did it right, no one would ever
know. You just change a few votes in a few precincts in a few states and
no one would ever know."
The technique of fixing a relatively
small number of votes could be used to swing a close election to a designated
candidate. Just as troublesome is the prospect of increasing a candidate's
margin of victory. Presidential elections are rarely won by margins of
more than a few percentage points, and more than 8 percent is considered
a crushing margin of victory. Altering a small percentage of votes in various
districts across the country could turn an indecisive election into an
artificial "landslide," creating a false "mandate" for the winning candidate.
But who on Earth would do such a
thing? In Chicago in 1982, 58 Democratic party bosses were convicted of
fraud after they were caught stuffing not the ballot box, but the computer.
They had punched out fraudulent cards for falsely registered and nonexistent
voters, then run them through the card-reader.
There have been numerous other ambiguous
cases. Many of them have involved Berkeley's Computer Election Service
(CES)-which recently changed its name to Business Records Corporation Election
Service. The company is the dominant force In the American election industry;
an estimated 33 to 40 percent of all American votes are cast on and counted
by CES systems. CES uses aversion of the punch-card voting system prevalent
in California.
In 1985, the National Security Agency
(NSA)-the government's most expansive and most secretive intelligence service-took
an interest in CES. According to the New York Times, NSA was following
a directive from then-President Reagan to improve the security of major
non-military computer systems.
Government officials were queasy
at the prospect of a top-secret military spy agency-particularly NSA, whose
domain is high-tech intelligence gathering-delving into the nation's electoral
process. According to the Times, an official of the government's
General Accounting Office told a Senate committee that NSA's involvement
with CES "raises basic questions concerning the extent to which the defense
establishment should be involved in policy formulation within the government's
civilian agencies."
The chair of the House Science and
Technology Subcommittee at that time, Rep. Ron Glicksman, also expressed
"serious reservations " about NSA's involvement with CES. The Times
story of Sept. 24, 1985 (which ran in the San Francisco Chronicle
the following day) , announced that NSA was "investigating" CES to determine
if its systems wereto fraud, but the NSA now says the Times got the
story wrong. "There never really was an investigation," says Cynthia Berecek,
an NSA public information officer. Berecek said the National Security Agency's
interest in CES was in "data gathering," not "investigating." The NSA,
according to Berecek, no longer has responsibility for computer security
outside of government operations. She says the Times misquoted an NSA spokesperson
as saying, "We have no interest in any particular election." The correct
quote, according to Berecek, should have been, "We have no interest in
elections per se." (Berecek says the NSA spokesperson interviewed by the
Times kept a written record of the conversation.) Exactly what "improvement"
the NSA was supposed to have made in the CES system was never announced.
Berecek says there were "no results to talk about" because there was no
"investigation," only "data gathering."
"If you sit and read a magazine that
has an article about a computer company, that's gathering data," Berecek
says. The NSA is the government's electronic intelligence bureau, responsible
for monitoring telephone calls, telex messages and other electronic communications.
It also gets information from spy satellites.. According to some reports,
the secrecy-obsessed agency possesses the most powerful computer system
in the world. In addition to the concerns raised by NSA's "data gathering,"
doubts about the company's integrity have been raised in several civil
lawsuits. In these civil lawsuits (no criminal charges were filed), CES
has been accused of actually participating in election fraud. Despite the
fact that CES has never lost a court case, the company's public image certainly
hasn't been helped by the litigation. In 1983, several losing candidates
in Indiana (a state where a county clerk once pronounced vote-buying as
"a way of life") sued CES and local election officials, charging them with
"false and fraudulent" vote counts.
CES President John Kemp denied in
the press that his company participated in wrongdoing of any kind, though
he did admit to the New York Times, "It is totally economically
unfeasible to have a fraud-proof system." CES also has been challenged
in at least three other states. When investigators have tried to unravel
the CES counting program, however, they inevitably have gotten lost in
the linguini-like mess. In the Indiana case, the defeated candidates brought
in computer consultant Deloris Davisson to analyze the CES vote-counting
software. She found it hopelessly obscure and hard to follow. Her report
termed the program's source code (the key to understanding the program)
"convoluted, unstructured and undocumented."
Davisson called its memory functions
-- where the vote counts are actually stored within the computer -- "a
shell game," and noted that the program doesn't stop running or even give
a warning if "there are more votes recorded than, there are registered
voters."
Davisson's report may beto
accusations of bias. After all, she was a paid consultant hired by people
who had a vested interest in proving CES faulty. But her finding are echoed
in the ECRI report, which was funded by a grant from an independent foundation.
Criticizing the software of "some vendors" (indicting CES only by implication),
the report states that the vote-counting software has been modified so
many times that "the resulting 'spaghetti code' may hide routines that
could affect the accuracy of results in subtle ways, and it would be virtually
impossible to find deliberately erroneous routines." (Emphasis added.)
The source codes of CES programs, and those manufactured by companies with
a smaller market share, are usually impenetrably obscure, incapable of
being understood by "me voting public and even by the election officials
who run the programs. "They treat it like it was something handed down
on stone tablets. The codes should be in the public domain," says Robert
Naegle, a federal elections consultant based in La Selva Beach, south of
Santa Cruz. Naegle authored the government's new voluntary standards for
computerized election tallying. But some of his best suggestions were refused.
, Naegle recommended to the Federal Elections Commission (FEC) that all
source codes be written in "high level language," a computer language resembling
English. While still hard to understand for the uninitiated, the codes
would be more accessible than those written -- as most codes currently
are -- in digital "assembly language."
The FEC rejected Naegle's recommendation.
A 1980 Pennsylvania study, not related
to any court case, found that one CES program was so complex and jumbled
that "it is possible to alter its functioning without any record." the
study's author, University of Pittsburgh Professor Michael Shamos, recommended
that the state refuse to certify CES. The state ignored him.
State elections boards are being
"buffeted by elections systems salespeople," Shamos was quoted as saying
in Datamation magazine. "Punch cards result in disenfranchisement.
The CES system is riddled with scandal potential."
According to Santa Clara County Registrar
of Voters George Mann, the system is subject to a "logic and accuracy test"
run before the election, in which up to 45,000 pre-punched cards are fed
through the computer. The computer's count is matched against the actual
count. Members of news media and political office holders are invited to
view the test. Mann, however, concedes that the system's accuracy could
never be verified unless someone wanted to hand count personally 45,O00
computer cards. They just have to take his -- and the computer's -- word
for it.
The punch-card system used by CES,
called the Votomatic, has another disadvantage that has long concerned
computer voting critics: the problem of the "hanging chad," The issue concerns
the little perforated squares that voters punch out of computer-voting
cards, known as "chad." When the paper rectangles aren't punched fully,
they hang from the card, creating an ambiguous ballot. Elections workers,
however, "sweep" the chad from the cards. The workers are put in the questionable
position of deciding whether voters intended to vote for candidates where
chad is incompletely punched. There are no laws in California governing
how voter intent is to be determined in the case of ambiguous ballots.
Usually, though, workers are not supposed to remove chad unless it is hanging
from the card by one or two perforated corners.
Mann estimates that "less than five
percent" of all punch cards come into the counting room with hanging chad.
But there has been many an election decided by less than five percent of
the vote. He also says that when a ballot fails to run through the card-reading
machine correctly, election workers simply punch out a new ballot, attempting
to duplicate the one filled out by the voter. There is a rich history of
elections botched because of faulty card reading and counting. In a 1970
election in Los Angeles, a computer assigned votes to the wrong candidates
and failed to read other votes at all. A Carroll County, Maryland, school
board election in 1984 was thrown into confusion after a CES computer picked
the wrong winner (the "true" victor was later determined by a manual recount).
Somehow, the correct counting program had been replaced with a test program.
A four-way Dallas mayor's race in
1985 also featured oddities. When the second-place finisher requested a
recount, vote-totals changed in 161 of the city's 250 precincts. Roy Saltman,
a government consultant who wrote a 1988 report on "Accuracy, Integrity
and Security in Computerized Vote-Tallying," calls the count changes "perplexing"
in his report. The second-place candidate's campaign manager alleged that
the vote-counting computer's "instructions" were changed after the count
showed her candidate leading by 400 votes. At around 8 pm on election night,
her candidate was ahead when the computer went down. When it came back
up, he was trailing.
And election that same year in Arizona
experienced a near-miss when a mistake that would have given all Democratic
votes to Republicans.
Those are just a few of the sizable
list of elections that have been distorted by faulty computerized counting.
in 1985, the wrong man was elected to the Moline, Ill., board of aldermen.
In the 1986 general election, the computer simply skipped two percent of
the ballots in Oklahoma County, Okla., effectively disenfranchising hundreds
of voters.
And so on.
Since CES changed its name to Business
Records Corporation there is now a new Computer Election Services. This
separate company was founded by Robert Varni, a founder of the original
CES in the 1960s. His company, located in a Benecia industrial park, is
planning to market a "chad free" punch card system and hopes to reestablish
what Varni says was the original, sterling reputation of CES -- a reputation
that has been tarnished in the original company's later years.
Another founder of the "first" CES
has a similar idea. Jack Gerbel's company, Unilect of Dublin, Calif., is
also selling a chad-free punch manufactured by Triad of Ohio. In fact,
Gerbel says he has "no knowledge" of any other chad-free punch and was
surprised to hear of Varni's system.
But punch-card voting may be on the
way out, replaced by more advanced technology. the trend in the computer
elections business is toward "direct recording" machines -- basically,
automatic teller machines for voters. These machines increase the convenience
of voting and the speed with which votes can be tabulated on election night.
But since there are no ballots,, there is no way to manually verify the
machine's counts. Some direct recording devices are capable of transmitting
counts immediately over phone lines or even via satellite.
Consultant Naegle recommended to
the Federal Elections Commission that direct recording machines should
have some way of recording votes independent of its own internal memory.
Again, the FEC rejected what seems like a sensible, even crucial, suggestion.
One of the most widely used direct
recording machines is called the "Shouptronic" named for its company, R.F.
Shoup. The president of that company, Ransom Shoup II, was convicted
in 1979 of conspiracy and obstruction of justice related to an FBI inquiry
into a lever machine-counted election in Philadelphia.
New York City is now prepared to
spend up to $50 million to convert its elections to direct recording machines
or another electronic system known as "optical mark." the Shouptronic is
among the candidates in a furious campaign to win the Big Apple contract.
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